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#31 |
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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![]() ![]() As for your idea that "no one in a guild is going to sell the rares.. wrong. I have already sold 4 foundations that I have no use for, because if I have to spend MY time harvesting these things, I will certainly NOT be handing them out to someone else. Even if I had obtained them through killing mobs, I would still not be handing them out. ![]() |
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#32 |
Active Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1
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![]() Too expensive you say? Sure they are definitely pretty pricey. Right now. The prices of these rares have fluctuated fairly significantly on Unrest in the week they've been available (the T10's at least). From almost 6K or so for foundations to about half of that more recently (even less). Shards actually seemed to climb from about 1K at first up to about 2K or so now (these are rough averages from my glances at the broker). Regardless of the absolute prices, we can see that things are pretty variable right now. I would hazard to guess the process will fall as well. Drastically? I dunno. Right now, there are a select few willing to buy them at the prices they are going for and as more of them get on the market, under-cutting will happen. I think the thing here is to exhibit some patience and see how it all pans out. There are big, nasty numbers flying around that people are using to try to prove various points that are likely not indicative of what is going on in a more general sense. |
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#33 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1
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![]() The 20+ hour estimate is basically from taking the 5-10 number and assuming that you're going to have (quite a bit) of competition for the top tier resources. Is it 100% correct? No. But it's fairly representative. You say - people will harvest, prices will go down. This assumed that someone DOES harvest for the 20 hours required. Sure, it's not me, it's Bob the Casual Player. (I am not sure how Bob the Casual Player has 10x the time that i do to harvest, but we'll elave that argument alone.) So Bob has spent 20 hours harvesting. He has unearthed a rare! Yay! Payday! But.. you're saying.. prices will go down! Many rares will apear! Deflation! So now, the overall assumption is that Bob the Casual Player is going to spend 20 hours harvesting and then sell me the rare for 100p. Or 300p. Whatever, some reasonable number. It's pretty much mutually exclusive: if it's going to take 20 hours, then rares are going to have sell at massively high prices. If the rares are NOT going to sell at massively high prices, then no one is going to bother harvesting for 20 hours. You can't have both. |
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#34 |
Active Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1
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Your 20 hour "stat" is completely arbitrary and based on a handful of reports with some magical equation stuck on the end to get 20 hours. And then you repeat 20 hours enough that maybe it will eventually be a meaningful number. It isn't.
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#35 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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30 Rares in about 30 hours of harvesting myself this past week.
RNG is fun. |
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#36 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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![]() Nonstop, heads down harvesting, I'm averaging a little worse than 1 prismatic every hour. A little worse than 1 prismatic every 1000 pulls. I'll round up the exact numbers after my next stretch of harvesting is completed. I'm in full harvesting gear, and yes I realize that may not help, but I have it, so why not wear it. |
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#37 |
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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A little dig through my log files for the times I've harvested this week (on my main, didn't bother searching my alts logs for when I want to be Off the radar)
**Edit** Apologies for the ****ing smilies... sigh. (1413026057)[Sat Oct 11 12:14:17 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413038873)[Sat Oct 11 15:47:53 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM -1144846703 -1695055902 ![]() (1413065016)[Sat Oct 11 23:03:36 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413066065)[Sat Oct 11 23:21:05 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413069683)[Sun Oct 12 00:21:23 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413108653)[Sun Oct 12 11:10:53 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM -1144846703 -1695055902 ![]() (1413072901)[Sun Oct 12 01:15:01 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413113290)[Sun Oct 12 12:28:10 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413118121)[Sun Oct 12 13:48:41 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM -1144846703 -1695055902 ![]() (1413120000)[Sun Oct 12 14:20:00 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM -1144846703 -1695055902 ![]() (1413139754)[Sun Oct 12 19:49:14 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413145270)[Sun Oct 12 21:21:10 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413146654)[Sun Oct 12 21:44:14 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413410461)[Wed Oct 15 23:01:01 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM -1144846703 -1695055902 ![]() (1413481028)[Thu Oct 16 18:37:08 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413543546)[Fri Oct 17 11:59:06 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM -1144846703 -1695055902 ![]() (1413544922)[Fri Oct 17 12:22:02 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM -1144846703 -1695055902 ![]() (1413545160)[Fri Oct 17 12:26:00 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413546777)[Fri Oct 17 12:52:57 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM 520707503 1044112126 ![]() (1413547057)[Fri Oct 17 12:57:37 2014] You acquire 1 aITEM -1144846703 -1695055902 ![]() Imo harvesting gear does help, I've noticed a big difference between rare rate from a toon wearing 620+ Harvest stats, to one wearing 485. At the end of the day its RNG, and you can always out stat a RNG by having more rolls. Aka - Harvest faster, quicker, and more often, with less down time between nodes. |
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#38 |
Active Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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![]() You might care if the 96-100 Masters are also ultra-rare and get used up to make the grand masters, thus never seeing the light of broker. As I see it we will have 3 options to get a new spell mastered if this is the case- 1)We are stuck at expert and upgrade using the spell researcher which will take a very long time for all spells. 2) Spend a mountain of plat to outbid a master from someone/everyone who wants it to make a GM 3) SC SC SC I just hope the rares to make the experts are within the budget of casual players... |
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#39 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1
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![]() Is it scientific? Not really. If you'd like to provide more scientific testing please do so. If you're going to do some testing, please do it on beta, where it's tested on the REAL node distribution. |
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#40 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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#41 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1
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![]() for t10 nothing. but i've been trying to apply t10 testing (which i did to live) to eventual rate of t11 rares. i mean, i couldn't care less about the rate for t10 stuff, but i wasn't going to spend an entire day harvesting on beta for stuff i coudln't even keep. |
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#42 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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![]() ![]() The Beta thread is best used for things new in the Beta, such as T11's and 96+ GM's... |
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#43 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1
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And just to clarify - IF the rate of gain is as Error reports and you get one of these approx once an hour, then i have absolutely no complaints. That's a good and fair rate of gain. Despite it still being terribly boring, I can definitely find the time and mental stamina to harvest for one hour for each one of my GMs.
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#44 |
Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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Mute point anyways,
Super rare harvests ? BAH Humbug that's not going to be as hard as getting the ruddy masters to drop and good luck buying ANY under 500 plat |
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#45 |
Active Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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lol who harvets for 8 hours on a weekend, get a life!
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#46 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1
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I was harvesting in test zones for TS sig questline. Not even a simple rare dropped. I guess they are not in yet
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#47 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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#48 |
Active Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 3
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#49 |
Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1
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Calling something "super-rare that only uber players should have" is completely moot when they put in a mechanic that literally hands it to you, if you wait X amount of days. Sure it'll take some time to research all of the GM's, but its an option that requires nothing more than 2 button clicks. Wow, real rare, and super hard to get. They shouldn't take as long to get by harvesting as it would by research (considering you dont even have to play the game to get it this way.)
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#50 |
Well-Known Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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Personally, I'm fine with the rate the way it is. People will see a difference by maxing out their harvesting skills and bumping up their bountiful harvest chance. I think I was running around with 705 fishing, 665 mining, and 655 to the rest, with 66% bountiful, and was seeing rares in the top tier zones every couple of hours (on average). Of course, when the chances are as low as they are, you will see examples of apparent RNG streakiness, in both directions.
If you don't have the patience to harvest them, then just keep an eye on the broker. Prices on my server have been falling daily, and are now approaching 1k. Expectation would be that the downwards trend will continue, since it is still early days. In other news, someone in my guild did bountiful harvest 2 prismatic foundations off the same harvest. |
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#51 |
Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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#52 |
Active Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 0
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1,800 plat on Guk
Guess we need more harvest bots over here ![]() |
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#53 |
Member
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1
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The prices are relatively stable over on AB it seems, they seem to trend right around 1500p give or take. The one thing I did notice is that the market for regular rares (Black Star Sapphire, Tungsten Ore, etc) has completely tanked.
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